Exit Polls Confirm Results Valid

After the New Hampshire ballot “controversy” a few people have commented that comparing exit polls to final results would be a good way to settle the issue. Here’s a comparison of the exit polls from the TV networks to the final results. CNN, CBS and MSNBC all seemed to be using the same poll.

Democrats:

  Biden Richardson Kucinich Dodd Clinton Edwards Obama Gravel
Final 0% 5% 1% 0% 39% 17% 36% 0%
Fox 0% 5% 1% 0% 40% 17% 37% 0%
CNN etc. 0% 4% 1% 0% 39% 17% 37% 0%

Republicans:

  Hunter Paul Romney Huckabee McCain Guiliani Thompson
Final 1% 8% 32% 11% 37% 9% 1%
Fox 1% 9% 31% 12% 37% 9% 1%
CNN etc. 1% 8% 31% 11% 36% 9% 1%

The results are obvious: if there were voting or counting irregularities, they did not change the results to any significant degree.

Sources

A few people have asked for sources for the statistics. County election results can be found here. Here’s a list of exit polls. A breakdown of Diebold-counted and hand-counted districts is here.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s


%d bloggers like this: